Browsing: Markets

CDS curves on investment-grade names are inverting, pricing near-term stress over long-term default risk. Here is what the pattern means and why it is spreading.

Storage gluts on both ends of the LNG trade are compressing the price spreads that make exports profitable, squeezing project economics and financing.

Freight derivatives, built as hedging tools, are increasingly read as recession early-warning signals by macro traders tracking real-economy trade flows.

Pension funds are trimming long-duration bond exposure and moving into private credit, infrastructure debt, and shorter maturities – reshaping fixed-income demand.

Agency MBS spreads are drifting wider as Fed balance sheet runoff removes the market’s largest buyer. Here’s what’s driving it and why mortgage rates stay high.

Sovereign CDS spreads are built to price economic risk, not political deterioration. That gap is creating dangerous mispricings across emerging and developed markets.

Institutional players are quietly piling into long-duration interest rate swaps, signaling a broad conviction that the rate-cutting cycle is closer and deeper than markets currently price.

Cat bond spreads keep tightening despite rising wildfire losses. Here’s why capital market dynamics are overriding traditional risk pricing in insurance-linked securities.

Macro hedge funds are building positions in Treasury basis swaps, drawn by persistent spread dislocations and uncorrelated returns in an elevated rate volatility environment.

CTAs are losing institutional assets to multi-strategy quant funds. Here’s why the category is under structural pressure and what the industry’s response has missed.